# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-22 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR22PORDEN · as_of 2026-10-26T14:13:06Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-22 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR22PORDEN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Portland vs Denver Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	204	197	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	92	80	0.87	nnYYYYnYYY	0.83	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	97	81	0.84	YYYYYnYnYY	0.8	yes
Ball Arena	ball arena	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYYYnY	0.79	yes
Elbow	elbow	155	119	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	yes
Playoff	playoff	198	149	0.75	YYYYYYYnnY	0.73	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	209	150	0.72	YYYYnYYnYY	0.69	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	56	37	0.66	YYYnYYnYYY	0.63	no
MVP	mvp	211	133	0.63	YnYYYYYnnn	0.61	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	186	118	0.63	YYYYYnnYnY	0.61	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	97	59	0.61	nnYYYYnYnY	0.58	yes
Jordan	jordan	157	90	0.57	YYYYnYnnYn	0.56	no
Ankle	ankle	205	118	0.58	nYYYYYYYnY	0.55	no
Triple Double	triple double	211	85	0.4	YYnnYnnnYn	0.41	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	186	74	0.4	nYYYnnnYnn	0.4	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	163	56	0.34	nnYnnnnnnn	0.35	no
Overtime	overtime	93	28	0.3	nYnnnnnnYY	0.31	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	136	18	0.13	nnnnnnnYnn	0.16	no