# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-19 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR19ORLCHA · as_of 2026-10-26T20:07:00Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-19 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR19ORLCHA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Orlando vs Charlotte Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	200	193	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	88	77	0.88	YYYYnnYYYY	0.84	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	93	78	0.84	nYYYYYYYYn	0.81	no
Playoff	playoff	194	147	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	no
Elbow	elbow	151	115	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	205	147	0.72	YYYYYYYYnY	0.69	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	52	34	0.65	nYYYYYYnYY	0.62	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	182	116	0.64	YYYnYYYYYn	0.62	yes
MVP	mvp	207	132	0.64	nYnnYnYYYY	0.61	no
Spectrum	spectrum	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.59	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	93	57	0.61	nYYnnnYYYY	0.59	yes
Jordan	jordan	153	89	0.58	YYnYYYYYnY	0.56	no
Ankle	ankle	201	115	0.57	YnYYnYYYYY	0.55	yes
Triple Double	triple double	207	84	0.41	YnnnYYnnYn	0.42	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	182	73	0.4	nYYnnYYYnn	0.4	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	159	56	0.35	nnnnnnYnnn	0.36	no
Overtime	overtime	89	26	0.29	YYnnnYnnnn	0.31	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	132	17	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	yes