# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-15 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR15DALCLE · as_of 2026-10-26T15:25:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR15DALCLE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Dallas vs Cleveland Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	190	183	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Rookie	rookie	78	69	0.88	YnYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	83	70	0.84	YYnYYYYYnY	0.81	yes
Playoff	playoff	184	137	0.74	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Rocket	rocket	9	7	0.78	YYnnYYYYY	0.71	yes
Elbow	elbow	141	105	0.74	nnYnnYnnYY	0.71	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	195	138	0.71	nYYYnYYYYn	0.69	yes
MVP	mvp	197	126	0.64	YYYYYnYnYn	0.62	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	172	108	0.63	YnYYYnnnnY	0.6	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	42	26	0.62	YnnnYYYYYY	0.59	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	83	51	0.61	YnYnYnnnYY	0.59	yes
Jordan	jordan	143	81	0.57	nYnYYYnYYn	0.55	no
Ankle	ankle	191	107	0.56	YYYYYnnnYn	0.54	yes
Triple Double	triple double	197	80	0.41	YYnYnYnYnY	0.41	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	172	68	0.4	YnnnnYnYnn	0.39	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	149	55	0.37	YnYnYnnnYY	0.37	no
Overtime	overtime	79	23	0.29	nnnYnYYnYY	0.3	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	122	17	0.14	nnYnnYnnnn	0.17	no