# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-11 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR12HOUDEN · as_of 2026-10-27T22:00:44Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR12HOUDEN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston vs Denver Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	179	172	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Ball Arena	ball arena	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.86	no
Rookie	rookie	67	59	0.88	YYYYYYnYYY	0.85	no
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	72	61	0.85	YYYYnYYYnY	0.81	yes
Elbow	elbow	130	100	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.74	no
Playoff	playoff	173	126	0.73	YYYYYYYYYY	0.71	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	184	130	0.71	nYYYnYYYnn	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	186	118	0.63	nYYnYnYYYn	0.62	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	161	102	0.63	YnnYYYnnYn	0.61	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	72	45	0.62	YYnYYnYYYn	0.61	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	31	19	0.61	nnnYYYnnYY	0.57	no
Jordan	jordan	132	74	0.56	nYnYYYnYnn	0.55	yes
Ankle	ankle	180	101	0.56	YnYYYYYnnn	0.54	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	161	64	0.4	nnnYYnnYYn	0.4	no
Triple Double	triple double	186	73	0.39	YYnnnnYnnn	0.4	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	138	50	0.36	YnYnnnnnYn	0.37	no
Overtime	overtime	68	18	0.26	nYnnnnYnnn	0.28	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	111	14	0.13	YYYnnnnnnn	0.16	no