# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-08 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR09CHAPHX · as_of 2026-10-26T23:00:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR09CHAPHX ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Charlotte vs Phoenix Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	171	164	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Rookie	rookie	59	52	0.88	nYYnYYYnYY	0.85	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	64	55	0.86	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Elbow	elbow	122	92	0.75	YnYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Playoff	playoff	165	118	0.72	YYYYYnYYYY	0.69	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	176	125	0.71	YYYnYYYYnY	0.69	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	153	98	0.64	YnYYnYnnYn	0.61	yes
MVP	mvp	178	113	0.63	YnYnYnYYnY	0.61	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	64	40	0.62	nYYYYYYYYY	0.6	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	23	14	0.61	YYnnYnYYnn	0.58	yes
Jordan	jordan	124	70	0.56	nnYnYYYnnY	0.55	yes
Ankle	ankle	172	96	0.56	nYYnYYnnYn	0.54	yes
Mortgage Matchup	mortgage matchup	1	0	0	n	0.44	yes
Triple Double	triple double	178	72	0.4	YnnYYYnnYY	0.41	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	153	60	0.39	YnYYnnYnnn	0.39	no
Buzzer	buzzer	130	48	0.37	nnYnnnnnYn	0.38	no
Overtime	overtime	60	17	0.28	nYnnnYnYnY	0.29	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	103	13	0.13	YnnnnnnnYY	0.16	no