# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-28 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB28HOUMIA · as_of 2026-10-26T21:26:20Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB28HOUMIA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston vs Miami Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	149	143	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	no
Rookie	rookie	37	35	0.95	YYYnYYYnYY	0.91	hist	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	42	36	0.86	YYYYYnYnYY	0.81	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	100	77	0.77	nYYYnYYnYY	0.73	hist	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	154	108	0.7	YYYnnYYYYY	0.68	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	143	99	0.69	YYYYYnYnYY	0.66	hist	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	131	86	0.66	YnYYnnYYYn	0.64	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	156	97	0.62	YYYYYYYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Jordan	jordan	102	58	0.57	nYYnnYnYYn	0.56	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	150	85	0.57	nYYnYnYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	42	23	0.55	YnnnYnnYnn	0.54	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	131	53	0.4	nnnYnnnnnn	0.4	hist	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	108	42	0.39	nnYYnnYYnn	0.4	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	156	60	0.38	nYYnnYYYnY	0.39	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	38	9	0.24	nnnnnYnYnY	0.25	hist	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	81	7	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	1	0	0	n	0.54	prior	yes
Kaseya Center	kaseya center	0	0			0.54	prior	no