# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-27 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB27CLEDET · as_of 2026-10-26T17:05:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB27CLEDET ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cleveland vs Detroit Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	147	141	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Rookie	rookie	35	33	0.94	YYYYYnYYYn	0.93	hist	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	40	34	0.85	YYYYYYYnYn	0.83	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	98	75	0.77	YYnYYYnYYn	0.74	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	152	106	0.7	YYYYYnnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Playoff	playoff	141	97	0.69	YYYYYYYnYn	0.66	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	129	85	0.66	YYYnYYnnYY	0.63	hist	no
MVP	mvp	154	95	0.62	YnYYYYYYYY	0.59	hist	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	40	23	0.57	YYYnnnYnnY	0.56	hist	no
Little Caesars	little caesar	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	148	85	0.57	nYnYYnYnYY	0.55	hist	no
Jordan	jordan	100	57	0.57	YYnYYnnYnY	0.55	hist	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	129	53	0.41	nnnnnYnnnn	0.41	hist	no
Buzzer	buzzer	106	42	0.4	YYnnYYnnYY	0.39	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	154	59	0.38	YnnYYnnYYY	0.39	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	36	8	0.22	nYnnnnnYnY	0.24	hist	yes
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	79	7	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	0	0			0.54	prior	no