# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-21 · 17 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB21ORLPHX · as_of 2026-10-27T16:40:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB21ORLPHX ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Orlando vs Phoenix Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Rookie	rookie	20	20	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	132	126	0.95	YYYnnYYYYY	0.93	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	25	22	0.88	YYYnYnYYYY	0.82	yes
Elbow	elbow	83	64	0.77	YnYnnYYnYY	0.73	yes
Playoff	playoff	126	86	0.68	YnYnnnYYnn	0.66	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	137	93	0.68	YYYnnYnYnY	0.65	yes
Draft	draft	25	16	0.64	nYnYnYnYYn	0.63	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	114	73	0.64	nnnnnYnYnY	0.61	yes
MVP	mvp	139	83	0.6	nYnYYnYYnY	0.57	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	25	14	0.56	YYYnnYYnYn	0.56	no
Jordan	jordan	85	48	0.56	nnnnnnYYYY	0.54	yes
Ankle	ankle	133	74	0.56	YYnnnYYnnY	0.53	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	114	50	0.44	YnYnnnnYnY	0.43	no
Triple Double	triple double	139	51	0.37	YYYnnYnnYn	0.38	no
Buzzer	buzzer	91	34	0.37	YnYnnYnYnY	0.38	no
Overtime	overtime	21	3	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.2	yes
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	64	7	0.11	nYnnnnYnnn	0.14	no