# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-05 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB05CHITOR · as_of 2026-10-26T16:55:02Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-05 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26FEB05CHITOR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Chicago vs Toronto Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	107	103	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	57	46	0.81	YYYYYYYnYY	0.77	hist	yes
Playoff	playoff	101	71	0.7	nYYYYYnnnY	0.67	hist	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	88	58	0.66	YnYnYYnnYY	0.63	hist	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	112	73	0.65	nYYYYYYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Draft	draft	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	no
MVP	mvp	114	69	0.61	nnYYYnYYnY	0.58	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	107	64	0.6	nYnYYnnYnY	0.57	hist	no
Jordan	jordan	60	32	0.53	nnYnnYYYYY	0.51	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	88	38	0.43	YnnnnYYYnY	0.42	hist	no
Buzzer	buzzer	65	23	0.35	nYYnYYnYnY	0.36	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	114	38	0.33	YnnYYYnYnY	0.34	hist	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	41	4	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	1	1	1	Y	0.52	prior	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	1	1	1	Y	0.52	prior	yes
Rookie	rookie	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Scotiabank	scotiabank	0	0			0.52	prior	yes