# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-18 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN18ORLMEM · as_of 2026-10-27T13:36:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN18ORLMEM ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Orlando at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	68	66	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
All-Star	all star	45	39	0.87	YYYnYnYYYn	0.84	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	18	14	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
FedExForum / FedEx	fedex|fedexforum	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Playoff	playoff	62	41	0.66	YYYYYnYYYY	0.63	hist	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	73	45	0.62	YYYYYYYYYn	0.6	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	68	42	0.62	nnYYYYnnYn	0.6	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	75	46	0.61	nYYYYnYYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	49	30	0.61	nnYnYYnYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Jordan	jordan	21	12	0.57	nnYnnYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	66	31	0.47	YnYYnnYYYY	0.45	hist	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	49	20	0.41	YnnnnnnnYn	0.4	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	75	22	0.29	YnnnYnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Buzzer	buzzer	26	6	0.23	YYYnYnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	prior	no