# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-17 · 16 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN17LALPOR · as_of 2026-10-25T17:55:58Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN17LALPOR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Los Angeles L at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	66	64	0.97	nYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
All-Star	all star	43	38	0.88	YYYYYnYnYY	0.83	hist	no
Moda	moda	2	2	1	YY	0.66	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	16	12	0.75	YYYYYYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	66	41	0.62	nYnnYYYYnn	0.62	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	60	39	0.65	nYYYYYYnYY	0.61	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	71	44	0.62	nnYYYYYYYY	0.58	hist	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	47	28	0.6	nYnnYnYYnY	0.58	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	73	44	0.6	nYnYYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Jordan	jordan	19	11	0.58	YYnnYnnYYY	0.51	hist	no
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	64	29	0.45	nnYnYYnnYY	0.43	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	47	19	0.4	nnYnnnnnnn	0.42	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	73	22	0.3	nYYnnnYnnn	0.32	hist	no
Buzzer	buzzer	24	6	0.25	nnYYYnYnnn	0.3	hist	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Rip City	rip city	0	0			0.49	prior	yes