# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-16 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN16MINHOU · as_of 2026-10-26T22:47:57Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN16MINHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Minnesota at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	64	62	0.97	YYnYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
All-Star	all star	41	36	0.88	YYYYYYYnYn	0.85	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	14	10	0.71	nnYYYYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Playoff	playoff	58	37	0.64	YYnYYYYYYn	0.62	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	64	41	0.64	YnnYnnYYYY	0.61	hist	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	69	42	0.61	YYnnYYYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	71	42	0.59	nnnYnYYYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	45	27	0.6	YYnYnnYnYY	0.56	hist	yes
Jordan	jordan	17	9	0.53	nYYYnnYnnY	0.51	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	62	27	0.44	YnnnYnYYnn	0.44	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	45	19	0.42	YnnnYnnnnn	0.44	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	71	22	0.31	YnnYYnnnYn	0.32	hist	no
Buzzer	buzzer	22	6	0.27	YnnnYYYnYn	0.28	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	63	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Toyota	toyota	1	0	0	n	0.49	prior	yes