# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-16 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN16CLEPHI · as_of 2026-10-24T21:22:59Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN16CLEPHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cleveland at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	64	62	0.97	YYnYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
All-Star	all star	41	36	0.88	YYYYYYYnYn	0.85	yes
Elbow	elbow	14	10	0.71	nnYYYYYYYY	0.62	yes
Playoff	playoff	58	37	0.64	YYnYYYYYYn	0.62	yes
Ankle	ankle	64	41	0.64	YnnYnnYYYY	0.61	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	69	42	0.61	YYnnYYYYYY	0.57	yes
MVP	mvp	71	42	0.59	nnnYnYYYYn	0.57	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	45	27	0.6	YYnYnnYnYY	0.56	no
Xfinity	xfinity	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	yes
Jordan	jordan	17	9	0.53	nYYYnnYnnY	0.51	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	62	27	0.44	YnnnYnYYnn	0.44	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	45	19	0.42	YnnnYnnnnn	0.44	no
Triple Double	triple double	71	22	0.31	YnnYYnnnYn	0.32	no
Buzzer	buzzer	22	6	0.27	YnnnYYYnYn	0.28	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	63	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	no