# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-15 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN15MEMORL · as_of 2026-10-26T06:26:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN15MEMORL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Memphis at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	61	59	0.97	YnYYYnYYYY	0.94	yes
All-Star	all star	38	35	0.92	YnnYYYYYYY	0.87	no
Playoff	playoff	55	35	0.64	YnYYYnYYYY	0.6	yes
Ankle	ankle	61	38	0.62	YnYYnnYnnY	0.6	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	42	25	0.6	YnnYYnYnnY	0.58	no
MVP	mvp	68	40	0.59	YnnnnnYnYY	0.55	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	66	39	0.59	YnnYYnnYYY	0.55	yes
Jordan	jordan	14	8	0.57	nnnnYYYnnY	0.55	no
Elbow	elbow	11	7	0.64	nnYnnYYYYY	0.53	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	42	19	0.45	YnnYnnnYnn	0.47	no
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	59	26	0.44	nnYYnnnYnY	0.43	yes
Kia	kia	1	0	0	n	0.39	no
Triple Double	triple double	68	21	0.31	YnnYnnYYnn	0.33	no
Buzzer	buzzer	19	5	0.26	nnnYnnnYYY	0.22	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	60	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	no