# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-31 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC31NYKSAS · as_of 2026-10-26T23:00:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-31 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC31NYKSAS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of New York vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	36	36	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.97	hist	yes
All-Star	all star	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	41	25	0.61	nYYYYnnYYn	0.59	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	43	26	0.6	nYYnYnnnYn	0.58	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	30	18	0.6	YYYnnnnYnY	0.58	hist	no
Frost Bank	frost bank	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	36	22	0.61	YYnnYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	17	9	0.53	YnnnYnYnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	17	9	0.53	YYnYnnnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	34	15	0.44	nnYnnYnnnn	0.46	hist	yes
Alien	alien	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	43	13	0.3	nYYnnYnnYY	0.29	hist	no
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	42	2	0.05	nnnnnnnYnn	0.08	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	35	1	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Jackal	jackal	0	0			0.45	prior	yes