# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-31 · 13 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC31GSWCHA · as_of 2026-10-26T23:28:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-31 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC31GSWCHA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Golden State vs Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	36	36	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.97	hist	yes
All-Star	all star	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	41	25	0.61	nYYYYnnYYn	0.59	hist	no
MVP	mvp	43	26	0.6	nYYnYnnnYn	0.58	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	30	18	0.6	YYYnnnnYnY	0.58	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	36	22	0.61	YYnnYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	17	9	0.53	YnnnYnYnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	17	9	0.53	YYnYnnnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	34	15	0.44	nnYnnYnnnn	0.46	hist	yes
Triple Double	triple double	43	13	0.3	nYYnnYnnYY	0.29	hist	no
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	42	2	0.05	nnnnnnnYnn	0.08	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	35	1	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Spectrum	spectrum	0	0			0.45	prior	yes