# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-19 · 11 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC19OKCMIN · as_of 2026-10-27T10:40:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-19 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC19OKCMIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Oklahoma City vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 19, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	17	17	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	22	15	0.68	YYYnYYnnYn	0.66	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	11	6	0.55	nnYYYYYnYn	0.55	hist	no
Target Center	target center	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	24	13	0.54	nYnYYnYYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	15	8	0.53	YnYYnnnYnY	0.48	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	17	8	0.47	YnnYnYYnYn	0.48	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	24	6	0.25	YYnnnnYnnn	0.28	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnYnnn	0.12	hist	no
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	23	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Christmas	christma	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
