# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-15 · 11 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC15HOUDEN · as_of 2026-10-27T22:11:17Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC15HOUDEN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	12	12	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	17	13	0.76	YnYYYYYYnY	0.7	hist	no
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	10	6	0.6	YnnYYYnYYn	0.54	hist	no
MVP	mvp	19	10	0.53	YnnnYnYnYY	0.5	hist	yes
Playoff	playoff	6	3	0.5	nnnYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	12	5	0.42	nnYnnYnnYn	0.41	hist	yes
Triple Double	triple double	19	5	0.26	nYnnnYYnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	18	1	0.06	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	yes
Ball Arena	ball arena	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Joker	joker	0	0			0.38	prior	yes