# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-09 · 14 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC09MIAORL · as_of 2026-10-27T19:48:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-25DEC09MIAORL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Miami vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 9, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	4	4	1	YYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	9	6	0.67	YnYYYYnYn	0.63	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	11	6	0.55	YnnYYYnnYn	0.54	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.5	hist	yes
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.5	hist	no
Triple Double	triple double	11	3	0.27	nYnnYnnnnY	0.24	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	4	0	0	nnnn	0.19	hist	no
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	10	1	0.1	nnnnnnnnYn	0.18	hist	no
Butler	butler	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Disney	disney	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Florida	florida	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Hurricane	hurricane	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Shaq / Shaquille	shaq|shaquille	0	0			0.36	prior	no
South Beach	south beach	0	0			0.36	prior	no