# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-31 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL31SFSD · as_of 2026-10-25T04:49:44Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-07-31 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL31SFSD ({word} = w of K rows): If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says {word} as part of San Fancisco vs San Diego Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Petco Park	petco park	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	77	63	0.82	YYYYnYYYYY	0.79	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	176	134	0.76	YYYnYYYnYn	0.73	yes
Error	error	181	136	0.75	YYnYnnYYYY	0.72	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	10	8	0.8	YYYYYnnYYY	0.7	yes
MVP	mvp	181	119	0.66	YYnYYnYYnn	0.62	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	181	108	0.6	YYYnnnYYYn	0.58	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	181	102	0.56	nnnYYnYYYn	0.55	no
Shutout / Shut Out	shut out|shutout	10	5	0.5	nYnnnYYYYn	0.54	yes
Career High	career high	10	5	0.5	YYYnnnnnYY	0.46	no
Walk Off	walk off	181	89	0.49	nnYnnnYnnY	0.46	yes
Momentum	momentum	10	4	0.4	YYnnnYnnYn	0.46	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	179	80	0.45	YnYYnnYYnn	0.44	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	181	57	0.31	YnYnnYYnYn	0.33	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	181	54	0.3	YnYnnnnnnY	0.31	no
No Hitter	no hitter	77	21	0.27	nnnnYYYnnn	0.3	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	181	48	0.27	nnnnnnnnnn	0.26	no
What a Catch	what a catch	182	13	0.07	nnnnnnnnnY	0.09	no