# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-18 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL18SFSEA · as_of 2026-10-26T11:13:58Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-07-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL18SFSEA ({word} = w of K rows): If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says {word} as part of Giants vs Mariners Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	159	141	0.89	YYnYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
T-Mobile Park	t mobile park	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	126	103	0.82	YYnYYYYYYY	0.78	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	158	124	0.78	nYYYYYnnnY	0.75	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	59	46	0.78	YYnYYYnYYY	0.74	yes
Error	error	163	124	0.76	YYYYYYYnYY	0.73	yes
MVP	mvp	163	107	0.66	YYYnnnYYnY	0.61	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	163	97	0.6	YnYYYYnnYY	0.57	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	163	92	0.56	nnnnYYYYnY	0.54	yes
Walk Off	walk off	163	83	0.51	nnnYnnnnYY	0.48	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	59	26	0.44	nnYnYYnnYn	0.45	no
Ohtani	ohtani	161	68	0.42	nnYnYnnYnn	0.41	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	163	50	0.31	nnnnnnnnnn	0.32	no
Shutout	shutout	59	17	0.29	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.31	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	163	47	0.29	YnYnnnnnYY	0.3	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	163	47	0.29	nnnYnnnnnn	0.29	yes
No Hitter	no hitter	59	15	0.25	nYnYnnYnnn	0.28	no
What a Catch	what a catch	164	11	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	0.09	no