# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-14 · 22 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL14ALNL · as_of 2026-10-25T09:01:01Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-07-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL14ALNL ({word} = w of K rows): If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says {word} as part of AL vs NL Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	156	138	0.88	YYYYYnYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	123	100	0.81	YnYYYnYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	155	123	0.79	YnYnYYYYYn	0.76	hist	no
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	56	43	0.77	YYYYYnYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Error	error	160	122	0.76	YnYYYYYYYY	0.73	hist	no
MVP	mvp	159	104	0.65	YnYYYYYnnn	0.61	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	160	95	0.59	nnnYnYYYYn	0.57	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	160	90	0.56	nnnnnnnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	160	81	0.51	nnnnnnYnnn	0.48	hist	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	56	25	0.45	YYnnnYnYYn	0.44	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	157	67	0.43	nnnYnnYnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	160	50	0.31	nnnnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Shutout	shutout	56	17	0.3	nYnYnnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	160	45	0.28	nYYYnYnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	160	47	0.29	nnnnnnYnnn	0.29	hist	no
No Hitter	no hitter	56	15	0.27	nnYnYnYnnY	0.29	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	160	10	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Cheesesteak	cheesesteak	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Citizens Bank	citizens bank	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Stolen Base / Steal	steal|stolen base	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Swing Off	swing off	0	0			0.55	prior	no
World Cup	world cup	0	0			0.55	prior	yes