# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-08 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL08AZSD · as_of 2026-10-25T23:07:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL08AZSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Diamondbacks vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	150	133	0.89	YYYYnYYYYY	0.85	no
Petco Park	petco park	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	117	95	0.81	YYnYYYYnYY	0.78	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	149	118	0.79	YnnYYYYnYn	0.76	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	50	39	0.78	YnnYYYYYYY	0.74	yes
Error	error	154	116	0.75	YYYYYYYnYY	0.72	yes
MVP	mvp	153	101	0.66	nnYYnYYnYY	0.62	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	154	91	0.59	YnnnnYnnnY	0.56	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	154	87	0.56	YnnYYYnnnn	0.55	no
Walk Off	walk off	154	80	0.52	nnYnYnnnnn	0.5	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	50	22	0.44	YnYnYnYYnn	0.45	no
Ohtani	ohtani	151	65	0.43	nnnnYYnnnY	0.42	no
Shutout	shutout	50	17	0.34	nYnnnnnYnY	0.34	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	154	50	0.32	nYnnnYnnnn	0.34	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	154	46	0.3	nnYYnnnnnn	0.3	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	154	44	0.29	YnnnYnnYYY	0.29	no
No Hitter	no hitter	50	12	0.24	nnnnYYnnYn	0.26	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	154	10	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	no