# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-06 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL06AZSD · as_of 2026-10-24T11:03:55Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-06 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL06AZSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Diamondbacks vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	148	131	0.89	YYYYYYnYYY	0.85	yes
Petco Park	petco park	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.83	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	115	93	0.81	nYYYnYYYYn	0.77	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	147	117	0.8	YYYnnYYYYn	0.76	no
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	48	37	0.77	YYYnnYYYYY	0.71	yes
Error	error	152	114	0.75	YYYYYYYYYn	0.7	yes
MVP	mvp	151	99	0.66	YnnnYYnYYn	0.63	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	152	90	0.59	YYYnnnnYnn	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	152	87	0.57	nYYnnYYYnn	0.56	no
Walk Off	walk off	152	80	0.53	YnnnYnYnnn	0.53	no
Ohtani	ohtani	149	65	0.44	nnnnnnYYnY	0.45	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	48	21	0.44	YYYnYnYnYn	0.43	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	152	50	0.33	nnnYnnnYnn	0.34	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	152	46	0.3	YnnnYYnnnn	0.31	no
Shutout	shutout	48	16	0.33	YYnYnnnnnY	0.3	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	152	42	0.28	nnYnnnYnnY	0.29	yes
No Hitter	no hitter	48	11	0.23	YnnnnnYYnn	0.25	no
What a Catch	what a catch	152	10	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no