# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-05 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL05PHIKC · as_of 2026-10-24T22:03:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-05 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL05PHIKC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Phillies vs Royals Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	133	118	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.86	yes
Kauffman Stadium	kauffman stadium	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	100	81	0.81	YYYYYnYYYY	0.77	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	132	105	0.8	YYnYYYYYYY	0.76	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	33	25	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.71	yes
Error	error	137	100	0.73	nYnYYYYYYn	0.7	no
MVP	mvp	136	91	0.67	nnnnYYYYYn	0.63	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	137	81	0.59	YYnnnYYYYn	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	137	79	0.58	nYYnYnYYYY	0.56	no
Walk Off	walk off	137	75	0.55	nYYnnnYYYY	0.52	no
Ohtani	ohtani	134	62	0.46	YnnYnnYnYn	0.45	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	33	14	0.42	nYnYnnYnYn	0.44	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	137	45	0.33	nnnYnYYnYn	0.34	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	137	43	0.31	nnYnnnnYnY	0.31	no
Shutout	shutout	33	10	0.3	nnnnnnnnnY	0.3	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	137	38	0.28	nnYnnnnnnY	0.29	no
No Hitter	no hitter	33	7	0.21	nnYnnnYnYY	0.22	no
What a Catch	what a catch	137	10	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	0.1	no