# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-05 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL05MIAATH · as_of 2026-10-27T03:53:10Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-05 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL05MIAATH ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Marlins vs Athletics Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	133	118	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.86	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	100	81	0.81	YYYYYnYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	132	105	0.8	YYnYYYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	33	25	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Error	error	137	100	0.73	nYnYYYYYYn	0.7	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	136	91	0.67	nnnnYYYYYn	0.63	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	137	81	0.59	YYnnnYYYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	137	79	0.58	nYYnYnYYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	137	75	0.55	nYYnnnYYYY	0.52	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	134	62	0.46	YnnYnnYnYn	0.45	hist	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	33	14	0.42	nYnYnnYnYn	0.44	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	137	45	0.33	nnnYnYYnYn	0.34	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	137	43	0.31	nnYnnnnYnY	0.31	hist	no
Shutout	shutout	33	10	0.3	nnnnnnnnnY	0.3	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	137	38	0.28	nnYnnnnnnY	0.29	hist	no
No Hitter	no hitter	33	7	0.21	nnYnnnYnYY	0.22	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	137	10	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	0.1	hist	no
Sutter Health Park	sutter health park	0	0			0.56	prior	no