# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-04 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL04STLCHC · as_of 2026-10-24T18:07:31Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL04STLCHC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cardinals vs Cubs Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	131	117	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	98	79	0.81	YYYYYYYnYY	0.76	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	130	103	0.79	YYYYnYYYYY	0.76	yes
Wrigley Field	wrigley field	2	2	1	YY	0.7	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	31	23	0.74	YYnYYYYYYY	0.7	yes
Error	error	135	99	0.73	YnnYnYYYYY	0.69	no
MVP	mvp	134	90	0.67	YnnnnnYYYY	0.63	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	135	80	0.59	YYYYnnnYYY	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	135	77	0.57	YYnYYnYnYY	0.55	yes
Walk Off	walk off	135	73	0.54	YnnYYnnnYY	0.51	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	132	61	0.46	YnYnnYnnYn	0.46	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	31	13	0.42	nnnYnYnnYn	0.42	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	135	44	0.33	nYnnnYnYYn	0.34	yes
Shutout	shutout	31	9	0.29	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.33	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	135	42	0.31	YnnnYnnnnY	0.3	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	135	37	0.27	YnnnYnnnnn	0.29	yes
No Hitter	no hitter	31	5	0.16	nnnnYnnnYn	0.21	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	135	10	0.07	nnnnnnnnYn	0.09	no