# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-03 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL03TBHOU · as_of 2026-10-25T04:35:33Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL03TBHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rays vs Astros Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	129	115	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	96	77	0.8	YYYYYYYYYn	0.76	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	128	101	0.79	YYYYYYnYYY	0.75	yes
Error	error	133	97	0.73	YYYnnYnYYY	0.69	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	29	21	0.72	YYYYnYYYYY	0.69	yes
MVP	mvp	132	88	0.67	nYYnnnnnYY	0.62	yes
Daikin Park	daikin park	6	4	0.67	YnYYYn	0.6	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	133	78	0.59	nYYYYYnnnY	0.56	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	133	75	0.56	nYYYnYYnYn	0.55	yes
Walk Off	walk off	133	71	0.53	YYYnnYYnnn	0.51	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	130	60	0.46	YYYnYnnYnn	0.45	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	29	12	0.41	YYnnnYnYnn	0.42	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	133	43	0.32	nYnYnnnYnY	0.33	yes
Shutout	shutout	29	9	0.31	nnYnnnnnnn	0.33	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	133	41	0.31	nnYnnnYnnn	0.31	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	133	37	0.28	nYYnnnYnnn	0.29	no
No Hitter	no hitter	29	4	0.14	nnnnnnYnnn	0.18	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	133	9	0.07	nYnnnnnnnn	0.09	no