# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-29 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN29TEXCLE · as_of 2026-10-24T23:23:02Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-29 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN29TEXCLE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rangers vs Guardians Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	126	112	0.89	nYYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Progressive Field	progressive field	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.82	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	93	75	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.77	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	125	98	0.78	nYnYYYYYYn	0.76	yes
Error	error	130	94	0.72	nYYYYYnnYn	0.69	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	26	18	0.69	nYYYYYYnYY	0.65	yes
MVP	mvp	129	86	0.67	YYnnYYnnnn	0.62	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	130	77	0.59	nYnnYYYYYn	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	130	74	0.57	YYYnYYYnYY	0.55	no
Walk Off	walk off	130	71	0.55	nnnYYYnnYY	0.52	no
Ohtani	ohtani	127	59	0.46	YnYYYYnYnn	0.46	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	26	11	0.42	YnnYYnnnYn	0.44	yes
Shutout	shutout	26	9	0.35	nYnnnYnnnn	0.37	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	130	41	0.32	nnnnYnYnnn	0.33	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	130	41	0.32	nnnnnYnnnY	0.31	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	130	37	0.28	YYnnYYnnnY	0.3	no
No Hitter	no hitter	26	4	0.15	nnYnnnnnnY	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	130	9	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	0.09	no