# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-26 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN26LADSD · as_of 2026-10-25T02:18:51Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN26LADSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Dodgers vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	121	107	0.88	YYYYYnYYYY	0.84	yes
Petco Park	petco park	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	88	70	0.8	YYYYYYYYYY	0.76	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	120	94	0.78	YYYYYnYnYY	0.75	yes
Error	error	125	92	0.74	YYYYYnYYYY	0.7	no
MVP	mvp	124	85	0.69	YnYnYYYnnY	0.64	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	21	14	0.67	YnnnYnYYYY	0.63	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	125	73	0.58	nnYnnnYnnY	0.56	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	125	70	0.56	nnYnYYYYnY	0.54	yes
Walk Off	walk off	125	68	0.54	YnnnYnnnYY	0.52	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	21	10	0.48	nYnnYYnnYY	0.48	no
Ohtani	ohtani	122	57	0.47	nnnnnYnYYY	0.46	yes
Shutout	shutout	21	8	0.38	YnYnnnYnnn	0.4	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	125	40	0.32	YnnYnnnnnY	0.33	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	125	39	0.31	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.31	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	125	35	0.28	nnnnnYYnnY	0.3	no
No Hitter	no hitter	21	3	0.14	YnnnnnnYnn	0.19	no
What a Catch	what a catch	125	9	0.07	nYnnnnnnnY	0.09	no
