# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-16 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN16SDSTL · as_of 2026-10-25T19:08:57Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN16SDSTL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Padres vs Cardinals Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	111	98	0.88	YYnYYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Busch Stadium	busch stadium	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	110	86	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.75	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	78	60	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	11	8	0.73	YnnnYYYYYY	0.68	no
Error	error	115	83	0.72	nYYnYYYYYY	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	114	79	0.69	nYYYYYYYnn	0.65	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	115	70	0.61	YYYYYYYYYn	0.59	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	115	64	0.56	YnnYYYYnYY	0.54	no
Walk Off	walk off	115	64	0.56	YnnYYnYnYY	0.53	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	11	5	0.45	nYnYnYYYnn	0.47	yes
Shutout	shutout	11	5	0.45	nnnnYYYYYn	0.47	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	112	53	0.47	YnnYYnYYYY	0.46	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	115	38	0.33	nYnnnnnnnn	0.33	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	115	37	0.32	nYnnnnnnYY	0.33	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	115	32	0.28	YYYYnnYnnY	0.3	no
No Hitter	no hitter	11	1	0.09	nnnnnnYnnn	0.19	no
What a Catch	what a catch	115	7	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.08	no