# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-11 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN11SEABAL · as_of 2026-10-27T05:21:09Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN11SEABAL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Mariners vs Orioles Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	104	91	0.88	YYYYYnYYYn	0.83	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	103	79	0.77	YYnYYnYYYY	0.73	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	71	53	0.75	YYYYYYnYYY	0.7	yes
Error	error	108	77	0.71	nYYYnYYnYY	0.67	no
MVP	mvp	107	74	0.69	YYYYnYYnYY	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	108	64	0.59	YYnYnnnYYY	0.57	yes
Walk Off	walk off	108	59	0.55	nYnYnnYYnn	0.52	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	108	58	0.54	YYnnnYYYnn	0.52	yes
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.52	no
Ohtani	ohtani	105	47	0.45	YnnnnnnYnn	0.44	yes
Oriole Park	oriole park	6	2	0.33	nnYYnn	0.41	yes
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.39	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	108	38	0.35	nnnnYnYnYn	0.35	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	108	35	0.32	YnYnYnYnYn	0.33	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	108	29	0.27	YnnYnnYYYY	0.29	yes
No Hitter	no hitter	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	no
Shutout	shutout	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	no
What a Catch	what a catch	108	6	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	no