# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-08 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN08NYYCLE · as_of 2026-10-26T11:29:16Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN08NYYCLE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Yankees vs Guardians Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	102	90	0.88	YYYYYYYnYY	0.84	hist	yes
Progressive Field	progressive field	4	4	1	YYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	101	77	0.76	YYYYnYYnYY	0.72	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	69	51	0.74	nYYYYYYYnY	0.69	hist	yes
Error	error	106	75	0.71	YYnYYYnYYn	0.67	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	105	72	0.69	YnYYYYnYYn	0.64	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	106	62	0.58	YnYYnYnnnY	0.56	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	106	59	0.56	YnnYnYnnYY	0.52	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	106	58	0.55	YYYYnnnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	103	47	0.46	nnYnnnnnnY	0.44	hist	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	2	0	0	nn	0.43	hist	yes
Shutout	shutout	2	0	0	nn	0.43	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	106	37	0.35	nYnnnnYnYn	0.34	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	106	34	0.32	nnYnYnYnYn	0.33	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	106	27	0.25	nnYnnYnnYY	0.26	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	106	6	0.06	nYnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	2	2	1	YY	0.56	prior	no
No Hitter	no hitter	2	0	0	nn	0.56	prior	no