# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-07 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN07SFCHC · as_of 2026-10-24T21:40:00Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN07SFCHC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Giants vs Cubs Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	100	88	0.88	nYYYYYYYYn	0.86	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	99	75	0.76	YYYYYYnYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	67	50	0.75	YnnYYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Error	error	104	74	0.71	YYYYnYYYnY	0.67	hist	no
Wrigley Field	wrigley field	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	103	71	0.69	nYYnYYYYnY	0.65	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	104	61	0.59	YYYnYYnYnn	0.57	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	104	57	0.55	nYYnnYnYnn	0.53	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	104	56	0.54	YnYYYYnnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	101	46	0.46	YYnnYnnnnn	0.45	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	104	36	0.35	nnnYnnnnYn	0.35	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	104	33	0.32	YnnnYnYnYn	0.33	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	104	25	0.24	nnnnYnnYnn	0.26	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	104	6	0.06	nnnYnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
No Hitter	no hitter	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Rob / Robbed	rob|robbed	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Shutout	shutout	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	0	0			0.57	prior	yes