# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-06-04 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN04PITHOU · as_of 2026-10-25T02:41:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUN04PITHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Pirates vs Astros Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	63	63	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.99	yes
Double Play	double play	100	92	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Triple	triple	100	91	0.91	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	96	85	0.89	YYnYnYYYYY	0.85	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	95	73	0.77	nnYYYYYYYY	0.74	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	63	46	0.73	YYYYYnnYYY	0.7	yes
Error	error	100	71	0.71	YYYYYYYYnY	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	99	68	0.69	nnYYnYYnYY	0.65	yes
Daikin Park	daikin park	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.6	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	100	60	0.6	YnnnYYYnYY	0.58	no
Walk Off	walk off	100	56	0.56	YYYYnYYnnY	0.54	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	100	55	0.55	YYnYYnYYYY	0.54	no
Ohtani	ohtani	97	46	0.47	nYYnYYnnYn	0.47	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	100	35	0.35	nnYnnnnYnn	0.35	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	100	31	0.31	YnnnYnnnYn	0.32	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	100	24	0.24	nnnYnnnnYn	0.26	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	63	8	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	no
What a Catch	what a catch	100	6	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.08	no