# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-30 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30KCTEX · as_of 2026-10-25T04:13:17Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30KCTEX ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Bullpen	bullpen	56	56	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.99	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	93	85	0.91	YYYYnYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Triple	triple	93	84	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	89	79	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.87	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	88	66	0.75	YYYYYYnnnY	0.71	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	56	41	0.73	YnYYYnYYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Error	error	93	65	0.7	YYYYnYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	92	63	0.68	YYnnYYnnnY	0.64	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	93	55	0.59	YnnnYYYYnn	0.59	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	93	52	0.56	YYnYYYYYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	93	49	0.53	YYnnnnYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	90	43	0.48	YnYYYYnnYY	0.47	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	93	34	0.37	YnnnYYnnnY	0.36	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	93	29	0.31	nYnYnnYYnn	0.33	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	93	22	0.24	nnnYYYnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	56	8	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	93	5	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Globe Life Field	globe life field	0	0			0.57	prior	yes