# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-30 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30CHCSTL · as_of 2026-10-25T04:35:33Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30CHCSTL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cubs vs Cardinals Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	56	56	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.99	yes
Double Play	double play	93	85	0.91	YYYYnYYYYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	93	84	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	89	79	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.87	no
Busch Stadium	busch stadium	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	88	66	0.75	YYYYYYnnnY	0.71	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	56	41	0.73	YnYYYnYYYY	0.69	no
Error	error	93	65	0.7	YYYYnYYYYY	0.66	yes
MVP	mvp	92	63	0.68	YYnnYYnnnY	0.64	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	93	55	0.59	YnnnYYYYnn	0.59	yes
Walk Off	walk off	93	52	0.56	YYnYYYYYYY	0.53	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	93	49	0.53	YYnnnnYYYn	0.52	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	90	43	0.48	YnYYYYnnYY	0.47	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	93	34	0.37	YnnnYYnnnY	0.36	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	93	29	0.31	nYnYnnYYnn	0.33	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	93	22	0.24	nnnYYYnnnn	0.26	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	56	8	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no
What a Catch	what a catch	93	5	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	no