# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-27 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY27TBBAL · as_of 2026-10-27T16:36:16Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY27TBBAL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rays vs Orioles Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	53	53	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.99	yes
Double Play	double play	90	82	0.91	YYYYYYYnYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	90	81	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	86	77	0.9	YYnYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	85	65	0.76	YYYYYYYYYn	0.73	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	53	38	0.72	YYYYnYYYnY	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	89	62	0.7	YYnYYnnYYn	0.66	no
Error	error	90	62	0.69	nYYYYYYnYY	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	90	54	0.6	nYnYnnnYYY	0.58	yes
Oriole Park	oriole park	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.54	no
Walk Off	walk off	90	49	0.54	nnnYYnYYYY	0.52	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	90	47	0.52	YnnYYnnnnY	0.51	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	87	41	0.47	YYnYnYYYYn	0.47	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	90	33	0.37	nnnYnnnYYn	0.37	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	90	28	0.31	YYnnYnYnnY	0.33	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	90	22	0.24	nnnnnnYYYn	0.26	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	53	8	0.15	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	no
What a Catch	what a catch	90	5	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	no
