# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-23 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY23STLCIN · as_of 2026-10-25T00:36:09Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-23 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY23STLCIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cardinals vs Reds Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	46	46	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	yes
Double Play	double play	83	76	0.92	YYYnYYYYYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	83	74	0.89	YYYYYnYYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	79	70	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.87	yes
Great American Ball Park	great american ball park	4	4	1	YYYY	0.79	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	78	59	0.76	YYYnYnYYYY	0.72	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	46	33	0.72	nYnYYnnYYY	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	82	58	0.71	YYYnnYYYYn	0.68	no
Error	error	83	56	0.67	YYYnYnnnYY	0.63	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	83	50	0.6	nYYYYYYnYn	0.59	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	83	44	0.53	nYYnnYYYnn	0.52	yes
Walk Off	walk off	83	43	0.52	nYYnnnYnnn	0.5	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	80	36	0.45	nYYnYnnYYn	0.45	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	83	30	0.36	nYnnYYYnnn	0.37	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	83	25	0.3	nYnnYYnYYn	0.32	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	83	19	0.23	nYnnYnnnnn	0.25	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	46	8	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	no
What a Catch	what a catch	83	5	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	no