# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-22 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY22HOUCHC · as_of 2026-10-26T11:29:16Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-22 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY22HOUCHC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Astros vs Cubs Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Bullpen	bullpen	44	44	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	81	74	0.91	nYYYYnYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	77	69	0.9	nYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Triple	triple	81	72	0.89	YYYYYYYnYY	0.87	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	76	57	0.75	nYYYYnYnYY	0.72	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	80	57	0.71	nYYYYnnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	44	31	0.7	YYnYnYYnnY	0.67	hist	yes
Error	error	81	54	0.67	nYYYYnYnnn	0.63	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	81	49	0.6	YYnYYYYYYn	0.59	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	81	44	0.54	YYnYYnnYYY	0.53	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	81	43	0.53	YYnYYnnnYn	0.51	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	78	35	0.45	YYnYYnYnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	81	30	0.37	YYnYnnYYYn	0.37	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	81	24	0.3	nYnYnnYYnY	0.31	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	81	19	0.23	YnnYnnYnnn	0.25	hist	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	44	8	0.18	YYnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	81	5	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Wrigley Field	wrigley field	0	0			0.57	prior	yes