# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-17 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY17SDSEA · as_of 2026-10-27T12:39:40Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY17SDSEA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Padres vs Mariners Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	40	40	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	yes
Double Play	double play	77	70	0.91	YYYYnYYYYn	0.89	yes
Triple	triple	77	69	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	73	65	0.89	YYnYnYYYYY	0.86	yes
T-Mobile Park	t mobile park	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	72	54	0.75	YYnYnYYYYn	0.73	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	40	29	0.72	YYYYYYnYnY	0.7	no
MVP	mvp	76	54	0.71	YYnYnYYYYn	0.68	yes
Error	error	77	53	0.69	nYnYnYYYYn	0.65	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	77	46	0.6	YYnnYYnYYY	0.57	yes
Walk Off	walk off	77	42	0.55	YYYnYYnYYn	0.52	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	77	41	0.53	YnnnYYnYYn	0.52	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	74	33	0.45	nYnnYYnYYn	0.44	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	77	27	0.35	YnnnYYnYnn	0.36	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	77	21	0.27	nnnnnYnYnn	0.29	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	77	18	0.23	nYnnYnnYnn	0.26	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	40	8	0.2	YYnnYYnnnn	0.25	no
What a Catch	what a catch	77	5	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	no