# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-16 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY16BALWSH · as_of 2026-10-27T16:36:16Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY16BALWSH ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Orioles vs Nationals Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Bullpen	bullpen	37	37	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	74	68	0.92	YYYYYYYnYY	0.88	hist	no
Triple	triple	74	66	0.89	nYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	70	62	0.89	YYYYYnYnYY	0.85	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	69	52	0.75	YYYYYnYnYY	0.72	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	37	27	0.73	nYYYYYYYYn	0.71	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	73	52	0.71	nYnYYnYnYY	0.67	hist	yes
Error	error	74	51	0.69	YYYnYnYnYY	0.65	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	74	43	0.58	nYYYYnnYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	74	40	0.54	nYnYYYnYYn	0.53	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	74	39	0.53	nnYYnnnYYn	0.52	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	71	31	0.44	YYnnYnnYYn	0.44	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	74	26	0.35	nnnYnnnYYn	0.36	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	74	20	0.27	nnYnnnnnYn	0.29	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	74	17	0.23	nYnnYnnYnn	0.25	hist	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	37	8	0.22	nnnYYnnYYn	0.25	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	74	5	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Nationals Park	nationals park	0	0			0.57	prior	no