# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-15 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY15NYYNYM · as_of 2026-10-25T20:14:43Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY15NYYNYM ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Yankees vs Mets Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	35	35	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	yes
Double Play	double play	72	66	0.92	YYYYYYYYYn	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	72	64	0.89	YYnYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	68	60	0.88	YYYYYYYnYn	0.85	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	67	50	0.75	YYYYYYYnYn	0.71	yes
Citi Field	citi field	2	2	1	YY	0.7	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	35	26	0.74	nnnYYYYYYY	0.7	no
MVP	mvp	71	50	0.7	nYnYnYYnYn	0.66	yes
Error	error	72	49	0.68	nYYYYnYnYn	0.64	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	72	42	0.58	nYnYYYYnnY	0.57	yes
Walk Off	walk off	72	39	0.54	nnnYnYYYnY	0.52	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	72	38	0.53	nYnnYYnnnY	0.51	no
Ohtani	ohtani	69	30	0.43	nYYYnnYnnY	0.43	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	72	25	0.35	nnnnnYnnnY	0.35	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	72	19	0.26	nnnnYnnnnn	0.28	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	72	17	0.24	nYnYnnYnnY	0.26	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	35	7	0.2	nnnnnYYnnY	0.23	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	72	5	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no
