# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-11 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY11SEAHOU · as_of 2026-10-25T13:48:46Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY11SEAHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Mariners vs Astros Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	33	33	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.97	yes
Double Play	double play	70	65	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	66	59	0.89	YYYYYYYYYn	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	70	62	0.89	YYYYnYYYYY	0.87	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	65	49	0.75	YYYYYYYYYn	0.73	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	33	24	0.73	YnnnnYYYYY	0.68	yes
MVP	mvp	69	49	0.71	nnnYnYnYYn	0.68	yes
Error	error	70	48	0.69	nYnYYYYnYn	0.66	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	70	41	0.59	YnnYnYYYYn	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	70	37	0.53	YnnYnnYYnn	0.53	no
Daikin Park	daikin park	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.52	yes
Walk Off	walk off	70	38	0.54	nYnnnYnYYY	0.51	no
Ohtani	ohtani	67	29	0.43	YnnYYYnnYn	0.43	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	70	24	0.34	nnnnnnnYnn	0.35	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	70	19	0.27	nnnnnnYnnn	0.29	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	70	16	0.23	YnnYnYnnYn	0.25	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	33	6	0.18	nnnnnnnYYn	0.22	no
What a Catch	what a catch	70	5	0.07	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.1	no