# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-10 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY10WSHMIA · as_of 2026-10-26T18:54:42Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-10 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY10WSHMIA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Nationals vs Marlins Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Bullpen	bullpen	31	31	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.97	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	68	63	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	64	58	0.91	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	no
Triple	triple	68	60	0.88	YYYYYYnYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	63	48	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	67	48	0.72	YYnnnYnYnY	0.68	hist	yes
Error	error	68	47	0.69	nYnYnYYYYn	0.66	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	31	22	0.71	nnYnnnnYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	68	40	0.59	nYYnnYnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	68	37	0.54	nnYnnYnnYY	0.52	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	68	36	0.53	nYnYnnnYnY	0.51	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	65	28	0.43	nnYnnYYYnn	0.44	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	68	24	0.35	nnnnnnnnnY	0.35	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	68	19	0.28	nnnnnnnnYn	0.29	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	68	15	0.22	nnYnnYnYnn	0.25	hist	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	31	5	0.16	nnnnnnnnnY	0.18	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	68	5	0.07	nnYnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
loanDepot	loandepot	0	0			0.56	prior	no