# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-09 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY09STLSD · as_of 2026-10-27T10:00:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY09STLSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cardinals vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	28	28	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.97	yes
Double Play	double play	65	60	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	61	55	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Triple	triple	65	57	0.88	YYYYYYYYYn	0.87	yes
Petco Park	petco park	3	3	1	YYY	0.71	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	60	45	0.75	YnYYYYYYYY	0.71	yes
MVP	mvp	64	46	0.72	nnYYYnnnYn	0.69	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	28	19	0.68	YYYnnYnnnn	0.69	yes
Error	error	65	45	0.69	nYYnYnYnYY	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	65	37	0.57	nYYnYYnnYn	0.55	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	65	35	0.54	YYnnnYnnYn	0.52	yes
Walk Off	walk off	65	34	0.52	YYnnYnYnnn	0.52	no
Ohtani	ohtani	62	27	0.44	YnnnnYnnYY	0.42	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	65	23	0.35	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.37	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	65	18	0.28	nnnnnnnnnn	0.3	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	65	14	0.22	nnnnnYnnYn	0.24	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	28	4	0.14	YnYnnnnnnn	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	65	5	0.08	nnnnnYnnnn	0.11	no