# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-08 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY08STLSD · as_of 2026-10-24T18:47:28Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY08STLSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cardinals vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	26	26	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Double Play	double play	63	58	0.92	nYYYYYYYYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	63	56	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	59	53	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	26	19	0.73	YYYYYnnYnn	0.75	no
MVP	mvp	62	45	0.73	nYnnYYYnnn	0.71	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	58	43	0.74	YYYnYYYYYY	0.7	yes
Petco Park	petco park	2	2	1	YY	0.65	yes
Error	error	63	43	0.68	nYnYYnYnYn	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	63	36	0.57	nYnYYnYYnn	0.57	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	63	34	0.54	nYYYnnnYnn	0.54	yes
Walk Off	walk off	63	34	0.54	YnYYnnYnYn	0.52	no
Ohtani	ohtani	60	25	0.42	nYYnnnnYnn	0.43	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	63	23	0.37	nnYnnnnnnn	0.38	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	63	18	0.29	nnnnnnnnnn	0.31	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	63	13	0.21	nnnnnnnYnn	0.23	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	26	4	0.15	nnYnYnnnnn	0.21	no
What a Catch	what a catch	63	5	0.08	nnnnnnnYnn	0.11	no