# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-04 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY04MILSTL · as_of 2026-10-27T08:41:25Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY04MILSTL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Brewers vs Cardinals Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	22	22	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Double Play	double play	59	54	0.92	YYYnnYYYYY	0.87	yes
Triple	triple	59	52	0.88	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	55	49	0.89	nYYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	22	18	0.82	nYYYYYYYYn	0.8	no
Busch Stadium	busch stadium	2	2	1	YY	0.72	yes
MVP	mvp	58	44	0.76	nnYYnYnnYY	0.72	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	54	39	0.72	YYnYYYYnYY	0.68	yes
Error	error	59	41	0.69	nnYYnYnYYn	0.66	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	59	34	0.58	nnnnnYnYYn	0.56	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	59	33	0.56	YnYnnYYYnn	0.56	no
Walk Off	walk off	59	32	0.54	YnYYYnYYnn	0.53	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	56	24	0.43	nnnnnYYnnn	0.45	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	59	23	0.39	nnnnnnYnnn	0.41	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	59	18	0.31	nnnnnnnnnn	0.34	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	59	12	0.2	nnnnnnnnnn	0.23	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	22	4	0.18	nnnnnnYnYn	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	59	4	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no