# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-02 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY02CINPIT · as_of 2026-10-25T04:05:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY02CINPIT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Reds vs Pirates Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	17	17	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Double Play	double play	54	49	0.91	YnYYYYYYnn	0.91	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	50	44	0.88	YYYYYnYYYY	0.84	yes
Triple	triple	54	47	0.87	YnYYYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	17	14	0.82	YnYYYnYYYY	0.74	yes
MVP	mvp	53	41	0.77	YYYYYnnYYn	0.74	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	49	35	0.71	nnnnYYYnYY	0.67	yes
Error	error	54	38	0.7	nnYYnnnYYn	0.67	yes
PNC Park	pnc park	2	2	1	YY	0.66	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	54	31	0.57	YnYYYnnnnn	0.58	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	54	30	0.56	YnYnYYnYnn	0.56	yes
Walk Off	walk off	54	30	0.56	YnnYYYnYYY	0.51	no
Ohtani	ohtani	51	22	0.43	YnYYYnnnnn	0.44	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	54	22	0.41	YYYnYnnnnn	0.42	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	54	18	0.33	nnnnnnnnnn	0.36	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	54	12	0.22	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.25	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	17	2	0.12	nnnnYnnnnn	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	54	4	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	0.11	no