# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-27 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR27TBCLE · as_of 2026-10-25T04:13:17Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR27TBCLE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rays vs Guardians Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Double Play	double play	50	47	0.94	YYYYYnYYYY	0.91	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	46	40	0.87	YYYYYYYYYn	0.85	yes
Triple	triple	50	43	0.86	YYYYYnYYYY	0.84	yes
MVP	mvp	49	39	0.8	nnYYYYYYYn	0.77	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	13	10	0.77	YYYYYnYYYn	0.77	yes
Progressive Field	progressive field	2	2	1	YY	0.72	yes
Error	error	50	36	0.72	YnnYnnYYnn	0.69	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	45	32	0.71	YYYYnnnnYY	0.67	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	50	31	0.62	YYYYYnYYYn	0.61	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	50	29	0.58	YYnYYnYnYY	0.55	no
Walk Off	walk off	50	27	0.54	YYYnYnnYYY	0.51	no
Ohtani	ohtani	47	22	0.47	nnnnYnYYYn	0.46	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	50	22	0.44	YYnnYYYnYn	0.45	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	50	18	0.36	nnnnnnnnnn	0.39	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	50	12	0.24	nYnYYnnnnn	0.27	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	13	2	0.15	nnnnnnnnYn	0.25	no
What a Catch	what a catch	50	4	0.08	nnYnnnnnYn	0.1	no